Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.014363 0.016095 0.017844 0.019738 0.021726 0.023745 0.025945
2025-04-27 0.010885 0.013545 0.016360 0.019529 0.022972 0.026576 0.030611
2025-05-04 0.008693 0.011796 0.015202 0.019149 0.023541 0.028227 0.033560
2025-05-11 0.007335 0.010768 0.014657 0.019273 0.024503 0.030166 0.036689
2025-05-18 0.006137 0.009774 0.014026 0.019186 0.025132 0.031652 0.039239
2025-05-25 0.005010 0.008736 0.013244 0.018837 0.025388 0.032658 0.041197
2025-06-01 0.004182 0.007979 0.012726 0.018737 0.025877 0.033880 0.043354
2025-06-08 0.003395 0.007187 0.012099 0.018452 0.026105 0.034770 0.045102
2025-06-15 0.002844 0.006654 0.011754 0.018472 0.026661 0.036007 0.047220
2025-06-22 0.002244 0.005970 0.011163 0.018148 0.026777 0.036713 0.048709
2025-06-29 0.001677 0.005247 0.010465 0.017649 0.026649 0.037108 0.049820
2025-07-06 0.001098 0.004378 0.009498 0.016756 0.026003 0.036866 0.050168
2025-07-13 0.000891 0.004167 0.009485 0.017149 0.027003 0.038643 0.052953
2025-07-20 0.000591 0.003693 0.009063 0.016997 0.027334 0.039644 0.054865
2025-07-27 0.000330 0.003172 0.008516 0.016638 0.027376 0.040278 0.056323
2025-08-03 0.000198 0.002900 0.008329 0.016753 0.028006 0.041607 0.058589
2025-08-10 0.000087 0.002572 0.008017 0.016673 0.028370 0.042602 0.060451
2025-08-17 0.000013 0.002180 0.007550 0.016347 0.028398 0.043176 0.061801
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001907 0.007259 0.016253 0.028716 0.044092 0.063550
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001603 0.006866 0.015987 0.028791 0.044699 0.064920
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001414 0.006673 0.016006 0.029234 0.045753 0.066818
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001152 0.006283 0.015704 0.029235 0.046249 0.068040
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000878 0.005806 0.015240 0.028999 0.046436 0.068877